Augur is a Decentralized Prediction Market Platform, built on Blockchain technology. Prediction markets allow users to buy and sell shares in the outcome of an event. The current market price of a share is an estimate of the probability of an event occurring. To gain this large audience, Augur is built on Ethereum, a decentralized blockchain network similar to the Bitcoin network. Utilizing this technology, our markets can effectively eliminate counterparty risk and centralized servers while creating a global market by employing cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin.
Stunningly accurate forecasts on any topic
Augur's prediction markets provide powerful predictive data - you can think of the current market price of any share in any market as an estimate of the probability of that outcome actually occurring in the real world. For example, a share priced at 64 cents has a 64% probability of happening.
The accuracy of prediction markets rests in the idea of the "The Wisdom of the Crowd". This states that the average prediction made by a group is superior to that made by any of the individuals in that group. Markets are the perfect way to aggregate this collective wisdom - which is made up of all the information, analysis and opinion held by members of the group. With these individuals buying and selling shares in the outcome of real-world events, based on their personal knowledge and opinion, the market prices reach an equilibrium that reflect the opinion of the entire group.
Prediction markets have proven to be more accurate at forecasting the future than individual experts, surveys or traditional opinion polling. They provide real-time predictive data and are traded using real money - which incentivises market participants to reveal what they think will happen, rather than what they hope will happen. Traders are putting their money where their mouths are.
Attention. There is a risk that unverified members are not actually members of the team
$40 500 000
Community Strength:Augur counts with an active reddit community with more than 9,000 subscribers and the official Twitter account has more than 120,000 followers.Conclusion:Augur is one of the hottest decentralized applications that run on the Ethereum blockchain. Due to the nature of the platform it seems that Augur is not affected by the limited number of transactions per second that Ethereum can perform. The fact that the project is already launched makes it more predictable for investors. Users are cautiously adopting the platform. One of the weaknesses is that the price of ETH, which is used for staking on the platform, is very volatile. This volatility makes it harder for enterprises to hedge their risks on Augur and for individuals to place bets.Overall the platform is performing better than many other previous ICOs since Augur could deliver a functional product. We can expect the User Experience to improve and users to slowly gain trust in the platform. Both factors are necessary for Augur to take off and reach mainstream adoption.
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